Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.192185 0.222667 0.256400 0.296501 0.342878 0.394843 0.457509
2025-08-31 0.142856 0.183297 0.232752 0.297689 0.380763 0.483566 0.620617
2025-09-07 0.117596 0.161939 0.220048 0.301795 0.413946 0.562619 0.775098
2025-09-14 0.097235 0.141847 0.203700 0.295749 0.429445 0.616913 0.900488
2025-09-21 0.083231 0.127636 0.192280 0.293290 0.447429 0.674332 1.034874
2025-09-28 0.073659 0.118119 0.185731 0.296090 0.472107 0.742738 1.192135
2025-10-05 0.068578 0.114551 0.187309 0.310897 0.516138 0.844494 1.412156
2025-10-12 0.063312 0.109827 0.186210 0.320835 0.552926 0.938154 1.629454
2025-10-19 0.058407 0.104963 0.184100 0.328479 0.586251 1.029089 1.852011
2025-10-26 0.053424 0.099262 0.179753 0.331465 0.611416 1.108218 2.062333
2025-11-02 0.048126 0.092290 0.172270 0.327750 0.623773 1.165518 2.238975
2025-11-09 0.042602 0.084193 0.161763 0.317065 0.621703 1.195809 2.367794
2025-11-16 0.039902 0.081269 0.160721 0.324550 0.655646 1.298192 2.649588
2025-11-23 0.036744 0.077065 0.156754 0.325852 0.677669 1.380207 2.901296
2025-11-30 0.034285 0.073959 0.154553 0.330347 0.706439 1.478325 3.196814
2025-12-07 0.031015 0.068746 0.147446 0.323729 0.711140 1.527547 3.394676
2025-12-14 0.028468 0.064776 0.142474 0.321036 0.723794 1.594512 3.638314
2025-12-21 0.026663 0.062233 0.140260 0.324101 0.749349 1.691749 3.960300
2025-12-28 0.026029 0.062273 0.143717 0.340310 0.806334 1.864266 4.474138
2026-01-04 0.025024 0.061324 0.144827 0.351190 0.852159 2.016350 4.957644
2026-01-11 0.023913 0.059988 0.144885 0.359558 0.892924 2.160970 5.439897
2026-01-18 0.022562 0.057902 0.142941 0.362827 0.921633 2.279996 5.872879
2026-01-25 0.020893 0.054824 0.138262 0.358759 0.931615 2.354629 6.202579